📊Active Systems for October 30th
The board told a few quiet stories today. In the AAC, a short road favorite firmed even as tickets and handle pointed the other way, one of those drifts that sticks when books are happy needing the home dog. Over in the Sun Belt, a number climbed several points against the flow and never snapped back, a pretty clean sign that the earliest, largest entries set the ceiling and everyone else adjusted to it.
NFL screens had their own signal: one matchup in the AFC ticked through the key once quarterback clarity arrived and then froze, no real appetite to buy back the other side. Elsewhere, a non-divisional total leaned higher in step with broader handle, while an NBA opener in the East settled into its range without the shop chasing balance. On the ice, a couple of home sides with recent skids still held favorite tax, and a few road dogs drew heavier money than tickets without forcing fresh numbers.
Below the paywall I break down where the first pushes landed, which keys actually mattered, and how those flows map to likely closes heading into tonight.
❓ RLM & Imbalances are identified at a certain time during the day. While I report these plays later in the day, some lines may have already moved back. The key takeaway is the early sharp movement which focuses on understanding where the sharp money hit, even if the line has since adjusted. These can still be considered, even if the numbers changed.