📊Active Systems for October 31st
The board moved in a few telling ways. An ACC total slipped a full field goal on opener and never gave it back, even as public tickets chased the other side, hinting that the first positions set the tone and books were content to sit on the lower number. A big NCAAF underdog drew the earliest nibbles and then a late wallet check; price barely budged on the second wave, which usually means books agreed with the read and didn’t need to chase it.
Across the rink and hardwood, one Western contender on the road picked up clear steam despite an even ticket split, while a short favorite in the nightcap saw both reverse action and confirmation, the kind of two-step that tends to stick. Another Eastern matchup drew buyback at a good number and held, quiet respect rather than noise. On the college slate, a double-digit favorite checked both boxes (steam and R-signal), and a low-profile game up north showed targeted handle with little retail interest.
Below the paywall, I map where those first pushes landed, which keys actually mattered (and which didn’t), and how these flows point to likely closes by tonight.
❓ RLM & Imbalances are identified at a certain time during the day. While I report these plays later in the day, some lines may have already moved back. The key takeaway is the early sharp movement which focuses on understanding where the sharp money hit, even if the line has since adjusted. These can still be considered, even if the numbers changed.